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The illusion puts forward the concept plan and that intraweek intraday FOREX currency movement is governed by an improvement or deterioration in the state?? S economic situation. But in reality, even in the case of real news Forex are higher than estimates for the Forex quotes up / down movement is of 50/50 probability. This statement is very important. Once the work of Forex Trader is the game the differential rate of exchange (FOREX FOREX pairs up / down movement), what follows is to be performed to obtain profits without fault: FOREX pairs pricing mechanism (eg point X where you are in complete market analysis) Factors conferring growth / decline rates FOREX (high / low point X). Thus, understanding the effective Forex ratesfactors to the extra-exchange (forex book-maker) and the ground due to monetary factors, operators must possess a distinct knowledge of whether to buy or sell the same pair of currencies. So what are these factors? FOREX student suggest an unambiguous interpretation of the factors responsible for the formation of prices and fluctuations of them: Forex rate represents a balance between demand supply of that commodity (money). Any violation of this balance (for example, where the new estimate is at odds with officials issued one), results in the reciprocating movement of exchange rates during the hunt for a new demand / supply balance . Weak demand leads to lower rates of certain currencies, with strong demand led to the growth of the latter. The situation continues until the currency buy / sell demand comes from the balance to another level or another point. Referring to Williams B. (A?? Trading Chaos 2A?? A Chapter 1?? The market is what you think of Ita ????): Every global market is dedicated to distribute or share limited amount of something? | Among those wishing to obtain more than anything. The market achieved by means of discovering and identifying the exact price? Underlying buyerâ ????/ sellersâ?? equilibrium point of absolute power. The above point is easily established by shares, futures, bonds, currencies and options markets, be it either through an auction open or under a computer installation. Cash markets this before misbalance be detectible by you or me or even by traders from the floor of the exchange. With this scenario into a real?? and it really?? We are in position to jump to some simple but important conclusions regarding the information currently available on the market and probably enjoying acceptanceâ ????. Thomas Demark is more laconic â?? Technical analysis - an emerging science ????: â?? price movement is governed by demand and supply. If demand exceeds supply, there?? Price recovery and whether his visa versa, there?? Its lower price. All economists share these underlying principlesâ ????. Thus, the role of fundamental analysis for FOREX market is obvious. In a fiction scholar will learn about the following explanation, persistently wandering from book to book, from site to site and providing the success of trade in FOREX market reach by way of scrutinizing the COUNTRYERA?? S of economic fundamentals, ie. by tracking the reflection factors of the COUNTRYERA?? s economy as provided below: Dynamics of the state economy condition indicators (GDP, trade and balance of payments, current account, industrial production, etc. It is common knowledge that most indicators above?? Faster thumbnail ‘economic and price growth in local currency); The indices, through index arithmetic mean COUNTRYERA?? S securities market condition and dynamics. E. G. : 0. 3% growth DJI daily in the United States means that today some of the actions of 30 large U.S. companies, are photographed by DJU, went 0. 3% more expensive. By similarity, the index is DAX30 German staff, incorporating the stock prices of COUNTRYERA?? S 30 leading companies. The COUNTRYERA?? S interest rate, since the higher the rate, the largest number of investors willing to invest in COUNTRYERA?? S economy and therefore in force in national currency. Inflation rate (the higher the rate, the faster the National Bank increased the interest rate). With this assumption, the CPI is a key factor. Money supply growth in the domestic market, is causing inflation, leading to higher interest rates. The COUNTRYERA?? S gold and foreign reserves of foreign exchange. The dynamic correlation of change: balance of payments, trade balance, state budget, gross domestic product (GDP), etc. Trade and industry dynamics (industrial production, industrial controls, DGO, capacity utilization, retail sales, etc.) Statistics construction (construction costs, sales of new homes under construction, building permits, etc.) Labor Statistics (unemployment rate, new jobs, etc.) Company Investigation (consumer confidence, consumer confidence, purchasing managers and service managers feeling, etc.) To be considered further are COUNTRYERA?? S political stability and peace (Obviously, any political cataclysms and natural and others are sure to turn jittery investors withdrew making investments from the country, weakening the national currency). And with money being derived from the national economy, changes in economic data will inevitably result in higher movement rates. Conclusions: Progress in economic performance in the rally of the exchange rate. Reduced economic indicators leading to the national decline rates. To summarize, the new economic and political critics (whose calendar is published in advance and is familiar to any trader) is a permanent factor giving rise to misbalance and causing fluctuations in exchange rates. In anticipation of important economic and political news crawl FOREX pair fares also inspired by the costs (A?? ????), Trade rumored that the actual news there is a movement of pulse pairs currency in accordance with the scheme below; Forex rate of real growth if the news is better than estimates, one; If rate cuts Forex news today are worse than the estimated one. Do you know ABC THESE BASIC PRINCIPLES OF THE STUDY FOREX? Accept that you can earn money through the use of these bases, known to every trader? So why, after absorbing the economic axioms, 90% of Forex traders around the world are more losers than winners. Where is the illusion of truth above ABC, prompting traders to losses? Let us sort of point by point analysis. The currency exchange market Forex is a book of decision makers. He is playing on the rate difference without delivering the money directly on the foreign exchange market, except for coverage tradersâ?? funds by brokers on the Forex via redemption difference especially during strong trends). Then, www. forexite. com reads: â?? Trading is conducted without input from real money, which cuts overhead and can go long and short Forexite on currencyâ?? http://www. forexite. forexite_advantages com / / forex_advantages. html. Comment: Have you ever encountered a book-makers; No logic which coincided with that of their customers (merchants) o which issues are made in line with analysts forecasts of technical, economic laws and common sense? And how much doubt and skepticism should be attached to them free? Recommendationsâ ????, â?? Advice ????, â?? Surveysâ?? and â?? forecastsâ ????, set through the sites of their analysts THEM? As a normal result, over 90% of world traders always lose their forex deposits whenever they follow Thomas Demark a stereotype?? All economists share these underlying principlesâ ????. Comment No. 1. Provided that the above principles underlying 90% at odds with practice, it gives rise to the next question. Could we?? Underlying principles shared by all economists, including Thomas Demark?? may have transformed into a dogma, a stranger to the life and practice? Comment No. 2. What should a trader based on: the practice or dogma, even if they are supported by big names, provided that the merchant is presumed to earn money? Forex analysts issue their daily market analysis are not bulky Forex traders in the overwhelming majority (see detailed discussion below). And on the collection of pairs 1, 2 and 3, it appears certain regularity. Please think of the words A. Elder, that: â?? Rates FOREX and fundamental analysis are tied together with rope of a mile long. Fundamental analysis is ultimately decisive. But something is likely to occur before this ????. See eventualityâ http://forums. Alpari-IDC. ru / viewtopic. php? p = 233365 & sid = a15db5e24b0eec0a8cf725e2c5cac859). Another, much less any trader and analyst reputation, Bill Williams said the regularity same mental model of an experienced trader (level 3 of its Tradera?? S score of jurisdiction under â?? Trading Chaos 2â? ??): â?? At the completion of 3 you seem like a self-contractor provided Pro. You are always aware of marketa?? S core, usually invisible structure. You no longer need to refer to othersâ?? opinions. You neednâ?? T read â?? Wall Street Journal ????, watch market-oriented TV programs, and subscribe to newsletters, to waste money on information channelsâ ????. Comment: Logically, there is a cons-involvement, if you’re eager to become a successful trader, you have to limit the influence of various investigations and recommendations on yourself, even if they come from a world famous ?? Wall Street Journal ????, to say nothing of the gurus of raw hides analyst who used to know in advance where the money goes. Forex News is a matter programmed core data, which as a rule affects rates FOREX strong impetus of the movement. But then, why the vector rate of movement is only 50% coinciding with the logical truism ABC of where rates should rush when actual news is much better or worse than the estimate. And please, make an attempt to answer the following question, stirring each trader: why, with the new being worse than expected (eg, the economy of the United States), the currency USD will first drop of 40 pips (new working-off), but in 5 to 10 minutes, it would swing back and display a rally of 200 points, with no consideration to two newly issued or common sense. Here are some examples: Fig. 1. Chart GBPUSD from 1 April 2005, after the new, positive for the GBP and negative for the U.S. economy. (Picture you can see on author site) In March the CIPS manufacturing index rose to 52. 0 (with previous data revised from 51. 8 to 51. 6). Oil prices in New York rose $ 2. 40 to USD57. 70 per barrel (new record for the last 21 years). Nonagricultural employment in the United States has been minimal since last July (revised previous data to lower values). There was a decline in the sentiment index of the Michigan 92. 6 (median estimate was 92. 9, with 92. 9 above). All the U.S. indexes against a fall. DJI fell on the NYSE by 99. 46 pips (-0. 95%) towards closing at 10,404. 30. NASDAQ fell 14. 42 pips (-0. 72%) in 1984. 81. S & P500 slipped by 7. 67 pips (-0. 65%) for 1172. 92. 30-yr U.S. Bonds yielded 4. 729 (0. 037 lower compared to the previous close). By cons, FTSE100 rose 19. 60 pips (0. 40%) in 4914. 00. Now the question is certified for economists: what will happen to the GBPUSD within a day or even several hours after the publication of these data? You’re right, USD should not simply fall down, it would collapse. Powerfully quickly. Well, Wella? | And this time, the same question to experienced traders. By forex news headlines you’ve probably guessed that the events taking place during the U.S. session on Friday. Correct. Initially, though, the list GBPUSD rise of 100 pips (new wok-off), followed by a withdrawal. Forex charts then starts a new rally. It remains to be followed if the GBP has violated the last rally high or not. If this continues, it will throw up by about 160 pips (Elliott Wave 1 was 100 pips, while EW 3 is 60% more). But if the secondary is not violated? The quote currency GBP will in no case at an impasse over Friday afternoon. So - down to the point of departure! And, in case of failure, the situation is similar shape, but the counting is done in a â?? Down?? (EW1 direction, being the same 100 pips to 187 pips 1. 8826-1. 8759 EW is 3). The Tactical FOREX trading day will be given scrutiny in a separate chapter. A separate section will always be dedicated to trade Friday in the U.S. session due to its inherent characteristics and strong movement seems inappropriate. The movement is, of course, is appropriate. To say nothing of Friday. But it will be discussed later. Now, to return to the list of changes. As shown, the movement GBPUSD pair on Friday, April 01, 2005 is in no way linked with U.S. economic fundamentals. Every forex trader can provide tens to hundreds of similar cases, where the news is a certain vector, whereas after a fraudulent rush along the vector of the new currency applies reverse thrust. Subsequently, the next in the investigation of the everyday currency, economists are certified you explain to us all through to invent another nonsense unconcealed as: â?? Despite some data, traders have decided that the money has already worked - disable Sidea ????. But! How could this happen on AVR 01, 2005, provided that the money was to remain flat in a narrow range during the whole of the European session? Otherwise, another explanation emerged in May, which traders awaited more news always lower economia United States? | Goal! By how much less, if, according to the DJ, the non-US-payroll Farm EM was equivalent to 180K, with numbers were 110 K, the estimate was 225 K and 243 K before? And how what these economists count to traders in the world per capita, by country or by the funds lost by those who have continued to remain long in a holy belief in academics scholars postulate Forex rates have been tied to countriesâ?? ? economy statistics. I wonder if the AI?? Ll never have the opportunity to witness legal proceedings shall be instituted against any of these famous scholars, so that no one would argue that the fundamentals of trigger points rate. The same refers to economists, writing about the way traders hundreds of thousands around the world have contributed to the conclusion that it is time to reverse the trend with absolutely no reason. Is this really feasible? Such reading material is, but hammering a single question ONEA?? S head he is lying or is it stupidity of these reports, the kitchen daily for traders to take a turn, deceiving them and keep them away from the truth, which could be of great help to them in daily transactions. Traders are not a decisive factor, and the rate of movement is in no way dependent on their will. Practically in any way. Check please? Negotiate with dozens of traders in the trading room and conduct a simultaneous entry of some long pair exotic FOREX. In doing so, try to mount either NZDHKD, or NZDCAD, or HKDCAD. No need? I think. Youa?? It certainly suffer failure with the foregoing, to say nothing of the EUR, GBP, CHF. Another example: Fig. 2. GBPUSD outstanding as of May 13, 2005. (Picture you can see on author site) This is a picture of the M15 American session, where the pair USD rose over 100 pips in 1. 8583-1. 8481 new cons, negative for the U.S. economy: Most indexes fell down: DJI on NYSE â?? by 49. 36 pips (-0. 48%) to close at 10140. 12; S & P500?? by 5. 31 pips (-0. 46%) in 1154. 05. NASDAQ rose 12. 92 pips (0. 66%) to1976. 80. U.S. 30yr Bonds yielded 4. 484 (0. Down nearly 047 earlier) There is a fall in the Michigan sentiment index. In May UMich 85 years. 3 with med 90 EST. 0 and before 87. 7. Thus, it was worse than expected, reaching the lowest since March 2003. The decrease in the index was observed for the fifth month. The export price of U.S. April index was 0. 6% to the front of 0. 7%. Other examples similar to this day. Fig. 3. EURUSD chart as of May 13, 2005. (Picture you can see on author site) Hundreds of examples may be offered, where the new vector Forex is opposite to that of currency. Practically, the real news comes in May to be higher or lower than the estimate. Forex Quotes up / down movement is also the probability of 50/50, regardless of the foregoing. Why is it and what is the way for an operator to identify the inputs and outputs? This will be discussed in the ensuing chapters of this book and the Masterforex-V Trading Academy procedure. Full text of this article and photos of examples http://www. masterforex-v. su / If you want to be trained on Trading System Masterforex-V - a new and more effective techniques of trade on Forex in the world visit http://www. masterforex-v. su /